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Harness Diamond System Printouts and explanations -
Monticello, Wednesday, February 8, 2012:
Below you see a printout from Monticello. This was exactly the best type of play that I tell my customers to look for, namely, a top rated horse that has a superior rating but is going off at a price. Bay Street had a Diamond Final of 191, which was 7.5 points better than anyone in the race. 5 points is a good advantage, anything more is a strong advantage.
The way the Diamond Ratings work, the lower the better. So the first rating, Diamond Pace, is speed to the three quarters, the middle rating, Diamond Speed, is a combination of final time and final quarter. Diamond Final is the Diamond Rating and it's an average of the first two. Then you go to RP PACE, which is my speed figure adjusted for early speed. With RP PACE and RP SPEED, the higher the better. Note that Bay Street had the best RP SPEED and RP PACE but he was also consistent. If you look down you can see that his other RP SPEED was 52, still one of the highest in the race. So he ran similar races in his last two starts, which is always a good sign. Consistency is something to look for. This was a nice overlay on a horse with a big 7 point edge.
In the race below we have a $25.60 top winner at The Meadows on the same day, Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2012. Again we see that Craig Michael had consistent ratings. He ran an RP SPEED of 56, the highest in the race, but in his next start he ran an RP SPEED of 55. His Diamond Rating of 162.5 was almost a 2 point advantage. You can see that the reason why Craig Michael is top rated is because of his Diamond Pace. The Diamond System is a pace balanced rating system. It takes a horses three quarter speed (Diamond Pace) and averages it with the horses final time and final quarter to get a balanced rating. Diamond Kick (lower the better) is closing power for the final half. RP PFR is also closing power, the higher the better. I'll explain this later on.
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