Check out my Harness Racing website at www.trotpicks.com:
Harness Diamond System Printouts and explanations
Monticello, Wednesday, February 8, 2012
Below you see a printout from Monticello. This was exactly the best type of
play that I tell my customers to look for, namely, a top rated horse that has a
superior rating but is going off at a price. Bay Street had a Diamond Final of
191, which was 7.5 points better than anyone in the race. 5 points is a good
advantage, anything more is a strong advantage.
The way the Diamond Ratings work, the lower the better. So the first rating,
Diamond Pace, is speed to the three quarters, the middle rating, Diamond Speed,
is a combination of final time and final quarter. Diamond Final is the Diamond
Rating and it's an average of the first two. Then you go to RP PACE, which is my
speed figure adjusted for early speed. With RP PACE and RP SPEED, the higher the
better. Note that Bay Street had the best RP SPEED and RP PACE but he was also
consistent. If you look down you can see that his other RP SPEED was 52, still
one of the highest in the race. So he ran similar races in his last two starts,
which is always a good sign. Consistency is something to look for. This was a
nice overlay on a horse with a big 7 point edge.
| Race: |
7 |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
| 1st |
6 |
Bay Street |
32.40 |
9.10 |
4.90 |
| 2nd |
1 |
Star Power |
|
3.60 |
2.50 |
| 3rd |
5 |
Coastal Highway |
|
|
2.20 |
| 4th |
2 |
Raps a Million |
|
|
|
| $2 Exacta |
6-1 |
115.00 |
| $2 Trifecta |
6-1-5 |
340.00 |
| $2 Superfecta |
6-1-5-2 |
523.00 |
In the race below we have a $25.60 top winner at The Meadows on
the same day, Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2012. Again we see that Craig Michael had
consistent ratings. He ran an RP SPEED of 56, the highest in the race, but in
his next start he ran an RP SPEED of 55. His Diamond Rating of 162.5 was almost
a 2 point advantage. You can see that the reason why Craig Michael is top rated
is because of his Diamond Pace. The Diamond System is a pace balanced rating
system. It takes a horses three quarter speed (Diamond Pace) and averages it
with the horses final time and final quarter to get a balanced rating. Diamond
Kick (lower the better) is closing power for the final half. RP PFR is also
closing power, the higher the better. I'll explain this later on.
To read more about our harness racing systems and my Trotpicks book, now in
PDF form, click on this link www.trotpicks.com
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Last updated: February 22, 2013.
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